The International Monetary Fund (IMF) today announced an updated forecast for global growth. The Fund projects growth rates of 3.0% for 2025 and 3.1% for 2026. This new forecast for 2025 is an increase of 0.2 percentage points compared to the reference forecast in the April 2025 World Economic Outlook (WEO), while the outlook for 2026 is up by 0.1 percentage points.

“Global growth has been revised up to 3.0% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, reflecting stronger than expected front loading, lower tariff rates compared to early April, easier financial conditions, including a weaker US dollar and fiscal expansion in some jurisdictions. Still, projections remain about 0.2 percentage point below our pre-April 2nd forecasts, indicating that the trade tensions are hurting the global economy. Global inflation continues to decline, reaching 4.2 percent in 2025 and 3.6 percent in 2026,” said Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas the IMF’s Chief Economist.